Panic Room: Take Rioli to bank

Cyril Rioli heads towards goal. Source: Michael Klein / HeraldSun

ON THE back of last week's betting bonanza courtesy of Paul Chapman kicking the opening goal at the juicy odds of $17, we are dedicating this preliminary final edition to making money.

We will give you three options from each team for opening goalkicker but the fairytale script would see Cyril Rioli not starting as the sub and instead kicking the first goal at $15.

HAWTHORN: 1. Cyril Rioli ($15) 2. Lance Franklin ($6.50) 3. Jordan Lewis ($21)

GEELONG: 1. Steve Johnson ($15) 2. James Podsiadly ($13) 3. Travis Varcoe ($26)

There are two betting strategies to approach this game and they make it easier. If you like the Hawks then back them to win by plenty. Here are some options:

* Hawthorn over 39.5 points $3.90
* Hawthorn over 15.5 points $1.95
* Hawthorn to lead at half-time -7.5 points $1.87
* Hawthorn to win 40-59 points $6.25
* Quarter breakdown - Haw/Haw/Geel/Haw $17
* Quarter time margin Hawthorn 13+ $3.15

If you are a Geelong person it's easy because there is no surer thing than backing the Cats to win by a small margin.

* Geelong under 39.5 points $3.90
* Geelong 1-19 points $4.75
* Quarter breakdown - Haw/Haw/Haw/Geel $21
* Half-time/Full-time double Haw/Geel $7.25
* Top goalscorer James Podsiadly $15

If you want to increase any of those odds, throw them into Fremantle to win at $1.30.

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SELECTION WHISPERS

The calls to talkback radio started early.

"I've got good mail that Shane Kersten is playing," the caller with the big scoop said.

The million dollar question is - How did Tom Hawkins woke up this morning?

It would take a big call for the reigning club champion to not play given his back had showed improvement last week, but Chris Scott keeps saying it's a day-to-day proposition.

The Cats coach is clearly keen to play Kersten and would have no problem letting the debutant loose on the preliminary final. He is a big strong boy who is a lot quicker than Hawkins so maybe the forecast rain might yet be a factor.

Over in Perth, the Dockers are confident Michael Johnson will get up for his scheduled return from a calf injury.

And while the Swans copped a beating last week, all selected players trained without incident including Ryan O'Keefe, who rolled his ankle in the final minutes of the win against the Blues.

Geelong forward Tom Hawkins in action against Port Adelaide. Picture: George Salpigtidis Source: HeraldSun

SUPERCOACH ALERT

If you're still in the running for your league win in SuperCoach Finals, there is one name you can't ignore this weekend: A. Sandilands.

Aaron is usually a $600,000 player in the fantasy game. But in the finals version he is available for a crazy $226,400. That is thanks to a torrid run with injuries but Ross Lyon has timed his run to perfection.

We know he doesn't like SuperCoach but the fact there is a finals version of the game may have escaped his attention. If Zac Clarke can do the job in the ruck watch for Sandi to wreak havoc in front of goal.

Jesse White breaks away from Carlton's Brock McLean. Source: Getty Images

ON NOTICE

JESSE WHITE

He's seemingly been there since Gerard Healy was a Swan so his coming out parade is well overdue. While he has shown some promising signs in the second half of the season, tomorrow night has to be White Night.

No Kurt Tippett means White has to play deep forward and impact the scoreboard. If he does that the Swans are a chance and, more importantly for him, if he fires his currency will rise as he is out-of-contract and almost certain to be playing elsewhere next year.

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